Russia announced a 12-month extension of its grain export ban on Thursday, raising fears about a return to the food shortages and riots of 2007-08 which spread through developing countries dependent on imports. The announcement by Vladimir Putin came as the UN’s Food and Agriculture Organization called an emergency meeting to discuss the wheat shortage, and riots in Mozambique.
“This is quite serious.”
The unrest in Maputo, in which 280 people were also injured, followed the government’s decision to raise bread prices by 30 per cent. Police opened fire on demonstrators after thousands turned out to protest against the price hikes, burning tyres and looting food warehouses. Although agricultural officials and traders insist that wheat and other crop supplies are more abundant than in 2007-08, officials fear the deadly Mozambique riots could be replicated.
The 2007-08 food shortages, the most severe in 30 years, set off riots in countries from Bangladesh to Mexico, and helped to trigger the collapse of governments in Haiti and Madagascar.
The Russian announcement extended an export ban first announced last month until late December 2011, sending wheat and other cereals prices to near a two-year high, according to Financial Times .
The FAO says that “the concern about a possible repeat of the 2007-08 food crisis” had resulted in “an enormous number” of inquiries from member countries. “The purpose of holding this meeting is for exporting and importing countries to engage.”
Russia is traditionally the world’s fourth-largest wheat exporter, and the export ban has already forced importers in the Middle East and North Africa, the biggest buyers, to seek supplies in Europe and the US.
Food Prices Surge
Mr Putin says Moscow could “only consider lifting the export ban after next year’s crop has been harvested and we have clarity on the grain balances”.
He adds that the decision to extend the ban was intended to “end unnecessary anxiety and to ensure a stable and predict-able business environment for market participants”.
“This is quite serious,” says Abdolreza Abbassian, of the FAO in Rome.
“Two years in a row without Russian exports creates quite a disturbance.” Dan Manternach, chief wheat economist at Doane Agricultural Services in St Louis, adds:
“This is a wake-up call for importing nations about the reliability of Russia.”
Jakkie Cilliers, director of South Africa’s Institute of Security Studies, said there was concern over a repeat of the protests of 2008: “That certainly strengthened a return of the military in politics in Africa.”
European wheat prices on Thursday hit €231.5 a tonne, just shy of last month’s two-year high of €236.
Wheat prices have surged nearly 70 per cent since January, and analysts forecast further rises after Russia’s decision and concerns about weather damage to Australia’s crop.
Food on the honor system?
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Related by the Econotwist:
- Food Price Fear Over Russia Wheat Ban (news.sky.com)
- Global food shortage fears as Russia extends wheat ban (telegraph.co.uk)
- U.N. Cuts Russian Wheat Forecast (online.wsj.com)
- Wheat Advances as Russia Extends Export Ban, FAO Calls Meeting (businessweek.com)
- The cost of wheat (bbc.co.uk)
- Wheat futures boosted as Russia extends export ban (marketwatch.com)
- FAO Calls ‘Extraordinary’ Meeting Amid Fears of Wheat Shortage (businessweek.com)