PandaLabs, the antimalware laboratory of Panda Security, the cloud security company, has forecasted several radical innovations in cyber-crime for 2011. Hacktivism and cyber-war; more profit-oriented malware; social media; social engineering and malicious codes with the ability to adapt to avoid detection will be the main threats.
“There will also be an increase in the threats to Mac users, new efforts to attack 64-bit systems and zero-day exploits.”
PandaLabs
1. Malware creation:
In 2010, PandaLabs witnessed significant growth in the amount of malware and discovered at least 20 million new strains, more than in 2009. At present, Panda’s Collective Intelligence database stores a total of more than 60 million classified threats. The actual rate of growth year-on-year however, appears to have peaked. Several years ago it was over 100 percent and in 2010 it was 50 percent.
2. Cyber war:
Stuxnet and the WikiLeaks cables suggesting the involvement of the Chinese government in the cyber-attacks on Google and other targets have marked a turning point in the history of these conflicts. Stuxnet was an attempt to interfere with processes in nuclear plants, specifically, with uranium centrifuge. Attacks such as these, albeit more or less sophisticated, are still ongoing, and will undoubtedly increase in 2011, even though many of them will go unnoticed by the general public.
3. Cyber-protests:
Cyber-protests , or hacktivism, are all the rage and will continue to grow in frequency. This new movement was initiated by the Anonymous group and Operation Payback, targeting organizations trying to close the net on Internet piracy, and later in support of Julian Assange, editor-in-chief of WikiLeaks. Even users with limited technical know-how can join in the distributed denial of service attacks (DDoS) or spam campaigns. Despite hasty attempts in many countries to pass legislation to counter this type of activity effectively by criminalizing it, PandaLabs believes that in 2011 there will be more cyber-protests, organized by this group or others that will begin to emerge.
4. Social engineering:
Cyber-criminals have found social media sites to be their perfect working environment, as users are even more trusting with these than with other types of tools, such as email. Throughout 2010, PandaLabs witnessed various attacks that used the two most popular social networks – Facebook and Twitter – as launching pads. In 2011, not only will hackers continue to use these networks, but it is predicted that they will also be used more for distributed attacks.
BlackHat SEO attacks (indexing and positioning of fake websites in search engines) will also be widely employed throughout 2011, as always, taking advantage of hot topics to reach as many users as possible. In addition, a significant amount of malware will be disguised as plug-ins, media players and other similar applications.
5.Windows 7 influencing malware development:
It will take at least two years before there is a proliferation of threats designed specifically for Windows 7. In 2010, PandaLabs began seeing a shift in this direction, and predicts that in 2011, new cases of malware targeting users of this new operating system will continue to emerge.
In 2011 there will be new attacks on mobile phones, but it will not be on a massive scale. Most of the existing threats target devices with Symbian, an operating system which is now on the wane. Of the emerging systems, PandaLabs predicts that the threats for Android will increase considerably throughout the year, becoming the number one mobile target for cyber-crooks.
7. Tablets:
The dominance of the iPad will start to be challenged by new competitors entering the market. Therefore PandaLabs does not believe that tablet PCs will become a major consideration for the cyber-criminals in 2011.
8. Mac:
Malware for Mac exists, and will continue to exist. And as the market share of Mac users continues to grow, the number of threats will grow. The greatest concern is the number of security holes in the Apple operating system. Developers will need to patch these holes as soon as possible, as hackers are well aware of the possibilities that these vulnerabilities offer for propagating malware.
9. HTML5:
HTML5 is the perfect target for many types of criminals and could eventually replace Flash. It can be run by browsers without any plug-ins, making it even more attractive to find a security hole that can be exploited to attack users regardless of which browser they use. PandaLabs expects to see the first attacks on HTML5 in the coming months.
10. Highly dynamic and encrypted threats:
PandaLabs expects dynamic and encrypted threats to increase in 2011. PandaLabs is receiving more and more encrypted, stealth threats designed to connect to a server and update themselves before security companies can detect them. There are also more threats that target specific users, particularly companies, as information stolen from businesses will fetch a higher price on the black market.
Related by the Econotwist’s:
- NASDAQ Hackers Aimed At Corporate Bonds
- NASDAQ Comments On Hackers, Lack of Information
- FBI Initiate Worldwide Crack Down On Hackers
- Cyber Attacks Force EU to Close Emission Trading System
- Internet Nuke Bomb Ready To Blow
- Cyber Criminals Attack Critical Water, Oil and Gas Systems
- The REAL Weapon of Mass Destruction
Related Articles:
- Cyber Crimes Will Rise in Year 2011: Symantec (globalthoughtz.com)
- Cyber criminals targeting mobile devices (premierlinedirect.co.uk)
- Will Energy Facilities Be The Next Targets Of Cyber-War? (paulsparrows.wordpress.com)
- Hackers hunt prey on smartphones, Facebook (canada.com)
- Cyber criminal ambitions growing, report says (business.financialpost.com)
- Malware threats highlight commercial insurance benefits (premierlinedirect.co.uk)






































Cyber Attack Against Norwegian Military, Massive and Targeted
On March 25 this year a massive and targeted cyber attack was launched against the Norwegian Military Forces – Forsvaret – according several Norwegian news sources. It is being described as one of the most serious so far. Local experts fear more attacks, capable of paralyzing the entire Norwegian economy.
It is likely that important computer systems are infected, and that information has been lost.
National Security Authority
On March 25, hundreds of emails was sent to high-ranking officers in the Norwegian military – Forsvaret. The message was disguised as a regular message from the public directorate, written in perfect Norwegian, with an innocent looking file attached. One person opened the file – and the fight was on.
According to the military spokespersons, the computer where the infected file was activated did not contain any classified information. The attack was discovered and stopped before any sensitive or confidetial information was stolen.
And I presume its gonna stay that way…
Cyber attack against Norway have become more like an online game, specially after last years Peace Prize award.
The Norwegian oil installations in the North Sea was also among the first to detect infections by the Stuxnet worm.
But this one is almost as special as the Stuxnet.
First of all: It seems to have been very well planned, organized and executed. Almost with a military precision.
Secondly: The attackers did already posess detailed information about the Norwegian military as they were able to target between 200 and 300 high-ranking and influential officers.
When it comes to the last point, no one can say for sure if there is any connection or not.
However, the incident has surely scared the Norwegian military who characterize it as one of the most serious cyber attacks so far.
And the military spokesman seem to suddenly have realized that we ain’t seen nothing, yet.
And, of course, the military spokesman underline that they managed to stop this one, and the possibility of anyone penetration the Norwegian military’s security system is very low.
Here’s come the part when I have trouble not laughing…
So, they managed to stop the attack? Our brave soliders? Well, this is what really happened:
The email was received on a Friday afternoon. But some hyperactive warlord decided to pop by the office on Saturday, just to check if we’ve had hit Gaddafi and check the mail and stuff, You know.
What happens next is described by the newspaper VG as follows:
The sender, who was named in the email, did not exist, and it was the aware receiver who raised the alarm because it was something else attached to the email than the annual report from the Directorate. The attachment behaved strangely, and the person became suspicions.
Well done! boys and girls.
Quite frankly, I’m speechless…
Anyway – last year the Norwegian National Security Authority warned against the threats from cyberspace in their recent 2010 report.
The report states:
It is likely that important computer systems are infected, and that information has been lost.
We we regard it as a very serious matter when the Norwegian military gets attacked like this, says spokesman Kjetil Veire with the National Security Authority.
Adding: When it comes to infected computers, we fear there is a large dark zone. What we have seen here might just be the tip of an iceberg.
No kidding!
But finally security expert at the company Steria, Stein Moellerstad, put the closet in the right corner:
The number of attacks against the Norwegian military will increase. And they can cause more serious damage because the flow of information through the internet has become so huge that both the military and the rest of the public administration has partly lost control.
According to the National Security Authority 2010 report, are cyber attacks capable of paralyzing the entire Norwegian economy in a worst case scenario.
So, now the speculations about who might be behind this are running totally wild.
Local experts say that only about 10 nations in world is capable of launching an attack as this.
That’s bullshit.
The suspects are millions.
In my mind the most interesting question is: Why Norway?
I mean, we haven’t got much oil left, we’ve sold it all. The same goes for the technology. In other words – not much to spy on.
I assume the NATO material is under a special NATO security facility.
And our famous Oil Fund? Well, we impulsively bought Greek debt for about one billion USD. Perhaps we shouldn’t, but that Greek prime minister look so nice.
The rest is probably gone in a few years anyway as the government will have to pay for all its promises, specially within the health care sector.
It means we don’t have that much money, either.
In fact, I can only see one logical reason to Norway being targeted in this scale:
It’s just too damn easy!
Related by the Econotwist’s:
Related articles
4 Comments
Filed under International Econnomic Politics, Laws and Regulations, National Economic Politics, Technology
Tagged as Cyberwarfare, Financial Markets, Health and Environment, International Econnomic Politics, International Politics, Law & Regulations, Libya, National Politics, Nobel Peace Prize, Norway, Sience and Technology, Stuxnet, Technology, United States, Verdens Gang, Views, commentaries and opinions, War on Terrorism, Warfare and Conflict, Wikileak